2016RookieGuide

The DFW 2016 NFL Rookie Fantasy Football GuideDFW is proud to release the 2016 edition of The Warehouse 2016 NFL Rookie Fantasy Football Guide: 122 players, 52,012 words and 100+ hours of research and analysis boiled down for your NFL draft day enjoyment, with a ton of information and analysis distilled for dynasty rookie and 2016 redraft domination. The guide includes: key notes for every player on their background, main statistics, strengths and weaknesses, and a synopsis of their Combine performance, their draft location (or location if signed as a free agent) with 2016 Outlook. You will find this to be an extremely valuable source of information and a super enjoyable read, get the guide as part of your DFW Insider Membership by signing up here. Please enjoy! [Please note that we are releasing new rookies daily and adding them to this centralized database of players and updates will happen again after the NFL draft]

2016 ROOKIE PROFILES: RB’s

2016 ROOKIE PROFILES: WR’s

2016 ROOKIE PROFILES: TE’s

QUARTERBACKS 

*In Alphabetical order

VernonAdams


DFW 2016 ROOKIE PROFILE: QB Vernon Adams


QB Vernon Adams– Senior / 5-10 / 202 – OREGON

YEARSCHOOLGAMESCOMPLETIONSATTEMPTSPERCENTPASSING YARDSTDsINTsRATING
2015OREGON1016825964.92,643266179.1
2014ECU1025138066.13,483358
2013ECU1531948665.64,9945515
2012ECU1213121560.91,961208
478691,34064.913,08113637
  • Incredibly productive at the collegiate level, posting 10,438 yards and 110 passing TDs to go with 1,232 rushing yards and 11 TDs while at FCS Eastern Washington from 2012-2014 and a solid 2015 with one season at Oregon (taking over after Marcus Mariota went to the NFL)
  • Possesses elite athletic ability, allowing him to escape the pocket with ease and create with his legs as necessary
  • Works through progressions quickly
  • Excels at short and intermediate throws, releasing the ball quickly and with good accuracy
  • Showed good poise and ability throwing from the pocket in the East-West Shrine Game, quieting some critics about that aspect of his game
  • Height is a concern, raising concerns about his ability to see the whole field and increasing the likelihood of passes being batted at the line of scrimmage
  • Operated primarily out of a spread offense, artificially inflating his numbers as most passes were screens or quick throws then a solid run after catch
  • Took the majority of snaps from the backfield, so he will need practice taking snaps from under center and operating a pro-style offense
  • Possesses a long windup and suffers from accuracy issues and a lack of velocity on some throws
  • Suffered from some poor decision-making in college and got away with mistakes he won’t in the NFL
  • Named MVP of the East-West Shrine Game (6/9, 191 yards, three TDs, 24 rushing yards), leading the West to a 29-9 victory
  • Despite his size, he only missed a few weeks in 2015 and missed no time while at Eastern WashingtonShifty North-South runner with a smooth shift to the next gear
  • COMBINE UPDATE: As expected, Adams best event at the Combine was the Three-Cone Drill (6.82 seconds, second among QBs) which highlights the change-of-direction abilities of the participants. Adams’ Forty time (4.83 seconds) was not good, but he wasn’t known as a speedster in college, either. Adams didn’t do anything of note during the throwing sessions for the QBs, but he was one of the three QBs to throw passes during the non-QB drills throughout the week of the NFL Combine. One NFC West scout indicated Adams should get looks from NFL teams, saying, “I wouldn’t draft him but I watched him at Eastern Washington and Oregon, and he’s got something to him as a competitor. I would have no problem bringing him into camp and seeing what happens.” Adams is generally drawing a late-round draft grade, possibly even going undrafted.
  • NFL DRAFT SELECTION: Undrafted, now in Canadian Football League
  • DYNASTY ROOKIE PROJECTION: N/A
  • 2016 OUTLOOK: Adams went undrafted and couldn’t catch on with the Seahawks or Redskins after tryouts with each team.  He is currently a member of the Montreal Alouettes in the CFL.

 

 


 

 

Brisett


DFW 2016 ROOKIE PROFILE: QB Jacoby Brissett


QB Jacoby Brissett – Redshirt Senior / 6-4 / 231 – NORTH CAROLINA STATE

YEARSCHOOLGAMESCOMPLETIONSATTEMPTSPERCENTPASSING YARDSTDsINTsRATING
2015NCST1323739560.02,662206130.3
2014NCST1322137059.72,606235136.7
2012FLA4233565.724910134.9
2011FLA5183946.22062486.9
3549983959.55,7234311131.3
  • Possesses a huge arm and can make every throw needed in the NFL
  • Can not only throw fastballs but Brissett also displays nice touch on passes
  • Excellent scrambling quarterback and very capable to pick up first downs with his legs, and Brissett is very effective rushing around the goal-line
  • Buys time with his big frame and strength (similar to Ben Roethisberger, Brissett can shuck off defenders to extend time to look for receivers)
  • Played in a pro-style offense at NC State, including often taking snaps under center
  • Shows good accuracy and Brissett finished his career right at the important 60% completion rate
  • Tough, and able to take a hit with his size and return for the next play (Brissett showed a lot of grit at NC State as he often took a beating every game and got up after every hit)
  • Displays solid work ethic and gets good marks on leadership traits (team captain; Brissett said that leadership skills was his best trait during the Senior Bowl week)
  • Lacks top-notch accuracy, his biggest area for improvement
  • Will need to improve reading defenses (and picking up blitz schemes); sometimes Brissett is late on getting the ball out of his hand
  • Will need work on his mechanics (including not throwing off his back foot when under duress)
  • Has the arm but will need to improve his deep-ball accuracy (but throws a pretty arcing ball)
  • Ended his collegiate career on a sour note with a 51-28 drubbing by Mississippi State in the Belk Bowl (Brissett threw an interception on his first snap of the game and had another interception in the first quarter)
  • Brissett played at Florida during his freshman and sophomore seasons, before sitting out a season as part of his transfer to NC State
  • Has drawn both E.J. Manuel and Jameis Winston comparisons, but as a prospect Brissett he is closer to Manuel (especially in terms of accuracy and reading defenses)
  • COMBINE UPDATE: Brissett didn’t really help his stock much with his Combine performance but it likely won’t hurt him much either. He was slow on his Forty time (Brissett’s 4.94 time was 3rd-worst among all quarterbacks) and his Short Shuttle was disappointing (his 4.53 time was dead last among quarterbacks) — although game tape shows that Brissett is plenty capable of picking up rushing yards when plays break down. Brissett could get picked as high as the 4th round in this year’s draft based on his upside, size and raw attributes.
  • NFL DRAFT SELECTION: TBD
  • DYNASTY ROOKIE PROJECTION: TBD
  • 2016 OUTLOOK: TBD

 

 


 

 

ConnorCOok2


DFW 2016 ROOKIE PROFILE: QB Connor Cook


QB Connor Cook – Senior / 6-4 / 217 – MICHIGAN STATE

YEARGAMESCOMPLETIONSATTEMPTSPERCENTPASSING YARDSTDsINTsRATING
2012391752.99411107.0
20131422338058.72,755226135.5
20141321236558.13,214248149.4
20151322940856.13,131247136.6
436731,17057.59,1947122139.8
  • Arguably more of a “game-manager” type of quarterback
  • Pocket-passer who ran a pro-style offense in college with a lot of experience taking snaps under center
  • Modest numbers in college but didn’t play in a friendly, spread offense
  • A big winner in college — Cook won 34 games in 39 starts, the best in Michigan State school history
  • Cook was 4-1 against AP Top 10 teams in his career, although he had 4 INTs to just 3 TDs against AP-ranked teams in 2015 and ended his career with a 38-0 drubbing against Alabama in the Cotton Bowl
  • Possesses the desired size and arm strength
  • Shows good mechanics on throws
  • Scans the field well and Cooks shows good anticipation on timing routes
  • Plays loose and is resilient — Cook isn’t a quarterback who is will let a mistake phase him from one play to the next
  • Plays tough and has the build to take contact — Cook can take a hit and gets back up for the next play
  • Not a guy who will throw a lot of interceptions, Cook rarely turns the ball over
  • Questions about Cook’s accuracy to succeed at the NFL level (leaves college with a 57.5 completion percentage)
  • Some concerns over Cook’s personality and ability to lead an NFL locker room, and despite being a third-year starter at MSU Cook was not named a team captain before his senior season
  • Cook declined an invitation to play at the 2016 Senior Bowl
  • Barely recruited out of high school, Cook was a 3-star college recruit (former MSU quarterback Kirk Cousins was also a 3-star college recruit)
  • COMBINE UPDATE: By most accounts, Cook had a so-so Combine performance in throwing drills. The plus side of things is that he was able to throw (Cook’s 2015 season ended with some shoulder issues which some blame as part of the reason the team was shut-out against Alabama in the Cotton Bowl). Cook missed some receivers with high throws and the ball placement on throws probably didn’t do much to answers questions scouts have on his accuracy. Cook fielded questions about his leadership skills, why he skipped the Senior Bowl and why he wasn’t a team captain until his senior season. Opinions on Cook are highly varied. Ultimately he looks like more of a development quarterback but it’s possible that some NFL GM and coach will see a prospect with enough raw skills that they think they can groom him into a starter at the next level with a potential 2nd-round grade.
  • NFL DRAFT SELECTION: TBD
  • DYNASTY ROOKIE PROJECTION: TBD
  • 2016 OUTLOOK: TBD

 

 


 

 

Coker2


DFW 2016 ROOKIE PROFILE: QB Jake Coker


QB Jake Coker – Redshirt Senior / 6-5 / 230 – ALABAMA

YEARGAMESCOMPLETIONSATTEMPTSPERCENTPASSING YARDSTDsINTsRATING
20151526339366.93,110218147.0
20145385964.440340144.2
20136183650.025001102.8
201233560.04510201.6
2932249365.33,808269146.6
  • Tremendous size for the quarterback position at 6’5”, puts Coker as tall as Joe Flacco, Cam Newton and Ben Roethlisberger
  • Initially played at Florida State in 2012 and 2013, before transferring to Alabama before the 2014 season (he was granted first-year eligibility on the transfer as he had graduated from FSU)
  • Coker was set to be the FSU starting quarterback in 2013 as a redshirt sophomore but he was beat out by true freshman Jameis Winston
  • Possesses an NFL-arm and can make all the throws
  • Has a fluid, over-the-top release
  • Pro-style quarterback and experienced playing against elite talent
  • Coker gets good marks for his pocket presence, he anticipates pressure and moves well
  • Makes smart decisions — Coker rarely throws into double coverages and he will hit check-down options
  • Finished 2015 strong with 825 passing yards, with 6 TDs to 0 INTs in the SEC Championship Game and two college playoff games
  • Played well against top competition, with 12 TDs to 3 INTs against AP-Ranked teams in 2015
  • Limited experience with just 493 passing attempts in college
  • Footwork can look very clumsy at times, Coker is a bit of a gamer (not looking so great in practices but plays well when the chips are on the table) — Coker has said however that he played the 2015 season with a broken toe on his right foot
  • Has a slow delivery and will need to be coached-up at the next level in this area
  • Coker’s timing is off at times and he will need to work on throwing with anticipation at the next level
  • Finished his career at Alabama a perfect 14-0 as a starter and led Alabama to a National Championship in 2015
  • Fun fact: threw his first career college touchdown pass (a 19-yard strike) to Kelvin Benjamin
  • COMBINE UPDATE: In what was considered a surprise snub by many, especially being off a National Championship and then a start in the Senior Bowl, but Coker did not receive a Combine invitation. Coker had a chance to show his skills at the March 9th Alabama Pro Day where he generally received solid marks for the showing, including a 50-throw planned workout. Coker in particular worked to try to show quicker feet and to shower a quicker release although he was short on some throws.  Coker / Alabama also announced that he played the 2015 season with a broker toe suffered in August 2015. On his Pro Day performance, Coker had this to say: “Did some good things, did some bad things. I know we were pretty clean on the intermediate routes and there were a few slip-ups on the deep balls that I wish I had back.”
  • NFL DRAFT SELECTION: TBD
  • DYNASTY ROOKIE PROJECTION: TBD
  • 2016 OUTLOOK: TBD

 


 

Jeff Driskell


DFW 2016 ROOKIE PROFILE: QB Jeff Driskel


QB Jeff Driskel – 5th-Year Senior / 6-4 / 234 – LOUISIANA TECH

YEARSCHOOLGAMESCOMPLETIONSATTEMPTSPERCENTPASSING YARDSTDsINTsRATING
2015Louisiana Tech1327944862.34,026278154.1
2014Florida911421253.81,140910103.5
2013Florida3426168.947723135.5
2012Florida1215624563.71,646125132.2
2011Florida5163447.11480271.9
426071,00060.77,4375028134.1
  • Many thought Driskel’s NFL prospects were gone after his career at Florida ended so poorly (Driskel had 10 INTs to just 9 TDs in 2014) but he transferred to Louisiana Tech and rebounded with a 4,000-yard season (Drisel was able to play without having to wait a year after transferring as he had already graduated from Florida)
  • Driskel has a nice frame for the next level can make almost any throw and he is technically very sound with his foot work
  • Risk taker/gun slinger who is not afraid to squeeze passes into tight coverage
  • His college tape reveals some fireball tendencies, that’s both good and bad
  • Underrated scrambled and he shows good pocket awareness (Driskel added 323 yards rushing with five rushing TDs in 2015)
  • Relentless work ethic and shows strong leadership traits
  • Averaged 309 yards passing per game in 2015
  • Struggles to find open man when first option is interrupted
  • Tends to force the ball the deep whenever possible even with a more efficient options open underneath
  • Will overthrow receivers leaving them vulnerable and Driskel’s does not possess elite deep-ball accuracy despite the lively arm (although he leaves college with a 60.7% completion percentage and shows solid accuracy on shorter-routes)
  • Gets rid of the ball a little early sometimes and also shows poor awareness of blitzing linebackers
  • Played well in the 2015 Senior Bowl, completing 8-of-9 passes for 108 yards and a touchdown
  • A former five-star recruit coming out of high school (Driskel was recruited by Alabama, Auburn, Clemson, Florida, LSU, Ole Miss, Tennessee and Virginia Tech among his suitors)
  • Note: had a broken leg in 2013
  • COMBINE UPDATE: Driskel showed intriguing athleticism after posting a spry 4.56 time in the Forty-Yard-Dash, which was tops amongst QBs. His five rushing TDs (14 in his collegiate career) tell us he is gifted enough to take advantage of open space. Not many college QBs possess that kind of ability paired with a rifle arm like Driskel possesses. His 10’2” Broad Jump was also the top number among the QBs competing, showing superb lower body strength that should correlate some with his balance and foot work. Draft expectations are pretty varied among scouts on Driskel but he is likely to get his name called on Draft Day and could sneak up to the middle rounds.
  • NFL DRAFT SELECTION: 6th Round (207 overall) 49ers
  • DYNASTY ROOKIE PROJECTION: 5th-7th round
  • 2016 OUTLOOK: Surprisingly Driskel compares athletically very close to Colin Kaepernick. He ran a faster 40-time than Kaepernick. Driskel also has more touch on his passes than the frantic bolts of lightning that Kaepernick throws. Driskel could be just as intriguing if he is given time to develop and learn the ins and outs of the Chip Kelly scheme. It would be a far fetched illusion to think Driskel actually steps onto an NFL field in 2016. If you are already infested with Kaepernick on your roster or heaven forbid Blaine Gabbert, you should grab Driskel as a taxi squad stash.

 


 

doughty-wku-usf


DFW 2016 ROOKIE PROFILE: QB Brandon Doughty


QB Brandon Doughty – 6th-Year Senior / 6-3 / 220 – WESTERN KENTUCKY

YEARGAMESCOMPLETIONSATTEMPTSPERCENTPASSING YARDSTDsINTsRATING
20151438854071.95,055489176.5
20141337555267.94,8304910167.1
20131224637465.82,8571414134.8
201221333.370052.9
20112132259.11060190.5
431,0231,49168.612,85511134161.0
  • Doughty was the most accurate quarterback in college last year, with an amazing 71.9 completion percentage
  • Led the NCAA in passing yards in both 2015 (5,055) and 2014 (4,830) and also led the nation in passing TDs each season as well
  • Shows good anticipation and is accurate on short and intermediate passes throwing a very catchable ball
  • Has a quick, compact release and displays a nice touch on balls
  • Moves well in the pocket and keeps his eyes down the field
  • Student of the game and Doughty carries himself like a coach and he reads coverages well
  • 3-year captain at Western Kentucky
  • Gets good marks for fortitude when facing adversity and battled back from multiple knee injuries
  • Hasn’t displayed a huge arm but does show zip on intermediate throws (although Doughty won an All-Star long distance challenge in February 2016 by throwing the ball 64 yards)
  • Showed well when given the chance against ranked teams in collegiate career with 11 TDs to 3 INTs
  • Lanky and lacks ideal build
  • Doesn’t have much athleticism to escape the rush and isn’t a player that will make plays with his legs
  • Won the 2014 Sammy Baugh Award winner as the nation’s top quarterback
  • Had a poor performance in the 2015 East-West Shrine game with two interceptions, although by accounts he excelled in practices all week
  • Will enter the NFL as an aged rookie (already 24) after being granted two red-shirt seasons Arguably more of a “game-manager” type of quarterback
  • COMBINE UPDATE: As a small-school prospect, the Combine was a big opportunity for Doughty to impress on a bigger stage and directly against the big names in this year’s class and his stock no doubt went up quite a bit coming out of the Combine. Doughty was very impressive in passing drills showcasing his quick release, timing and touch. Doughty also nailed it when it comes to his knowledge of the game. One team drew a play on a chalkboard, erased it and then asked him to detail the play. Said Doughty. “I’m sort of a football dork. That was no problem. I went a little over and beyond with all of the intricacies of it. Afterward, they told me it was the only time they could remember that they didn’t have a question for the quarterback after that exercise.” His lack of athletic skills was on full display as well as he was easily the slowest quarterback at the Combine with a 5.22 time in the Forty-Yard-Dash and poor scores (generally worst) in all the athletic drills. But, and as Doughty pointed out, Tom Brady had a similar time in his Combine Forty as well.
  • NFL DRAFT SELECTION: 7th Round (7.02), Miami Dolphins
  • DYNASTY ROOKIE PROJECTION: UNDRAFTED
  • 2016 OUTLOOK: Doughty goes to a good spot to be developed long-term under new Dolphins’ head coach Adam Gase. Matt Moore is the team’s current back-up and signed through the 2017 season. It’s possible Doughty pushes for the back-up role by 2018 and while a 7th round long-shot, Doughty remains a long-term sleeper based on his intelligence and accuracy.

 

 


 

 

Goff1


DFW 2016 ROOKIE PROFILE: QB Jared Goff


QB Jared Goff – Junior / 6-4 / 215 – CALIFORNIA

YEARGAMESCOMPLETIONSATTEMPTSPERCENTPASSING YARDSTDsINTsRATING
20131232053060.43,5081810123.4
20141231650962.13,973357147.6
20151334152964.54,7144313161.0
379771,56862.312,1959630144.0
  • Plenty of college experience having started every game while at Cal, and the only quarterback in school history to start as a true freshman and Goff is considered NFL-ready
  • Cerebral quarterback who can pick apart teams with his plus ball placement and has an ability to read defenses
  • Shows confidence as the guy to lead a team
  • Goff has a strong arm and has no problem making deep out throws
  • Shows impressive accuracy and can surgically pick apart defenses
  • Has good footwork overall in the pocket with his feet always moving and Goff stays strong in the pocket
  • Possesses a very good over the top and clean flick-of-the-wrist release
  • Like Aaron Rodgers who played at Cal, Goff has drawn poor-man Aaron Rodgers’ comparisons and many Matt Ryan comparisons as well
  • Highly efficient with a 143.95 career passing efficiency including a 43:13 touchdown-to-interception ratio as a junior
  • Completed an impressive 43.8 percent of his deep throws in college
  • Impressive 27 TDs to zero INTs inside the red zone in 2015
  • Set 26 Cal records including career marks for passing yards (12,220), passing yards per game (329.7 YPG) and TD passes (96)
  • Broke Marcus Mariota’s Pac-12 single-season record for touchdown passes in 2015 with 44 passing TDs
  • Never missed time at Cal but Goff has a slender build and lacks ideal bulk
  • Smaller hands than you’d like for a quarterback (and he fumbled the ball 24 times in three seasons, losing 11)
  • Will need more experience taking snaps under center (spent 99.8 percent of his pass snaps from pistol or shotgun in 2015)
  • Stats somewhat inflated due to the up-tempo spread offense played at Cal and somewhat of a rhythm passer who benefited from an up-tempo offense
  • In three games against rated teams in 2015, Goff had just 6 TDs to 6 INTs (including a five interception game at Utah)
  • Will throw off his back foot too often when facing pressure and tended to take sacks too frequently against top defenses although Goff played with a poor supporting cast at Cal
  • Not a rushing threat (had -114 yards rushing in his collegiate career)
  • Received scholarship offers from Boise State, California, Fresno State and Stanford
  • His father Jerry Goff was a catcher who played Major League Baseball with Montreal (1990, 1992), Pittsburgh (1993-94) and Detroit (1995-96)
  • COMBINE UPDATE: Goff showed well in the passing drills at the Combine, in particular showcasing his impressive timing and accuracy. Most NFL scouts reportedly viewed Goff as having the best day throwing. Goff ‘s hand measured small however at 9” which may concern some in terms of gripping the ball in bad weather (and 9” is generally considered the bare-minimum cutoff for minimal NFL hand size at quarterback). Goff is not considered to be much of an athlete and his performance in drills confirmed that with a low 27” vertical (tied for the lowest among all quarterbacks in attendance), a slow time in the Short Shuttle and just a 4.82 in the 40-Yard Dash.
  • NFL DRAFT SELECTION: TBD
  • DYNASTY ROOKIE PROJECTION: TBD
  • 2016 OUTLOOK: TBD

 

 


 

 

Hackenberg


DFW 2016 ROOKIE PROFILE: QB Christian Hackenberg


QB Christian Hackenberg – Junior / 6-4 / 223 – PENN STATE

YEARGAMESCOMPLETIONSATTEMPTSPERCENTPASSING YARDSTDsINTsRATING
20151319235953.52,525166123.9
20141327048455.82,9771215109.4
20131223139258.92,9552010134.0
386931,23556.18,4574831121.4
  • Prototypical size for an NFL QB
  • Easily gets velocity on his throws and has the arm strength to make throws others can’t
  • Took numerous hits behind a sub-par offensive line, yet never missed a start in his three-year career (38 starts)
  • Fearless in the pocket; will absorb a hit if he thinks a completion will result
  • Shows good footwork on three-, five-, and seven-step drops
  • Experienced in a pro-style offense and taking snaps from under center
  • Despite Hackenberg’s arm strength, his accuracy is worrisome (56.1% collegiate completion percentage; drops to 51.5% when looking solely at throws beyond the line of scrimmage)
  • Struggles with footwork in the pocket; lower body doesn’t match upper body too often
  • Too often shows little awareness when the pocket begins to collapse
  • Has a very long wind up and pats the ball excessively
  • Struggles against the blitz (44.2% completion percentage when rushed by five defenders, 41.9% against six)
  • Sacked 103 times during collegiate career, but a large percentage were because he held the ball too long
  • Struggles with the deep ball, putting too much air under the pass allowing secondary defenders to make plays on the ball
  • Hold Penn State records for career passing yards (8,457), passing TDs (48), completions (693), and 300-yard passing games (9)
  • 2013 Big Ten Freshman of the Year and Freshman All-American
  • Part of the first recruiting class following the Penn State sexual assault scandal, but Hackenberg elected to keep his commitment to help State College to prominence
  • COMBINE UPDATE: Hackenberg surprised some people with his performance in the athletic events at the NFL Combine, posting the fourth-best Forty time among QBs (4.78 seconds)and fifth-best Three-Cone Drill (7.04 seconds) along with middle-of-the-pack finishes in the Vertical Jump (31”, tied for ninth) and Broad Jump (9’6”, tied for seventh). During the throwing session, Hackenberg showed more of what evaluators saw during his collegiate career, with high throws and generally poor ball placement.  Hackenberg is the draft’s biggest enigma as he looks the part of a first-rounder, but plays like a late-rounder. One NFC executive had this to say about Hackenberg: “The tape is just terrible over the last two years, but he has traits and leadership. His freshman tape is good, but how do you discount everything you’ve seen for two years? That freshman tape is going to lead a team to overdraft him.”
  • NFL DRAFT SELECTION: Round 2 (2.20), New York Jets
  • DYNASTY ROOKIE PROJECTION: Late round
  • 2016 OUTLOOK: Hackenberg looked like a future #1 overall pick when Bill O’Brien was in Happy Valley during his freshman season, but the wheels seemed to fall off when James Franklin arrived the following year.  Hackenberg has a great arm and all the measurables you want in a QB, but he’s a project right now.  The Jets could turn a QB in a fantasy star with Brandon Marshall, Eric Decker and Matt Forte all in the fold.  Geno Smith is penciled in as the starter right now, but the Jets are still trying to woo Ryan Fitzpatrick back.  Hackenberg will be battling with Bryce Petty this season to become the second or third-string QB this year, depending on what Fitzpatrick does.  Hackenberg looks like a multi-year project, so dynasty owners with deep benches can stash and wait but smaller leagues likely can pass.

 


 

KevinHogan1


DFW 2016 ROOKIE PROFILE: QB Kevin Hogan


QB Kevin Hogan – Redshirt Senior / 6-4 / 218 – STANFORD

YEARGAMESCOMPLETIONSATTEMPTSPERCENTPASSING YARDSTDsINTsRATING
20151420630467.82,867278171.0
20141323235265.92,792198145.8
20131418029561.02,6302010151.5
20121010915271.71,09693147.9
517271,10365.99,3857529154.6
  • Experienced and able to command a huddle — Hogan leaves Stanford with a career record 36 wins (while not the highest upside, arguably the most pro-ready option in this year’s draft, certainly relative to starting experience and depending on system)
  • When Hogan is able to make a five-step drop he goes his progressions well
  • Heady-player, who is able to read defenses at the line of scrimmage and call plays, something the Stanford offense requires by design (or at least with Andrew Luck and then Kevin Hogan)
  • Able to thread the needle in the shallow passing game
  • Very good ball placement and he does not leave his receivers hanging out to dry
  • Steps into throws but he also has very good touch while throwing on the run
  • Tremendous experience, having started the final five games in his freshman season (all wins) and then the three years since (taking over after Andrew Luck went to the NFL)
  • Finished with a 37-10 career record in pro style offense
  • Graduates with an impressive 65.9 percent completion percentage while at Stanford
  • Hogan played very well against top competition in 2015, in fact passing for 13 TDs to 2 INTs against AP-Ranked teams in 2015 with a 207.4 QB-rating
  • A cagy runner who contributed a lot in this area – Hogan rushed for 1,249 yards over his collegiate career and ran in 15 scores on the ground
  • Arm strength is slightly above average
  • Not a particularly quick release and Hogan has an elongated, loopy throwing motion — showed impressive accuracy but his mechanics are all over the place
  • Happy feet lead frantic motions and rushed passes
  • Accuracy dips some when throwing beyond 15 yards
  • Smart but fearless while running the ball, often looks for open field rather sliding or going out of bounds
  • Worth noting at least that Hogan was able to rely on one of college football’s best players (Christian McCaffery) and also had least three offense lineman and a tight end with NFL potential protecting him
  • Some view Hogan as more of a game-manager and will likely need to pay his dues as a backup for 2-3 seasons at least
  • Hogan the Cardinal to three PAC-12 conference championships in four years and ended his career with a Rose Bowl victory
  • Has drawn Ryan Fiztpatrick comparisons which is a fair enough comparable
  • COMBINE UPDATE: Hogan was solid in quarterback drills completely across the board, which will only help strengthen his stock as a middle round pick option (with some looking into whether he is a sleeper option who could move add a round of premium in the NFL Draft with further examination). Hogan’s Forty-time was ranked top five for the QBs competing. For what it’s worth, Hogan also placed in the top five QBs in the Vertical Jump at 32.5”, while his Broad Jump of 113” inches tied for ninth among quarterbacks. His most impressive drill was his sub-seven second (6.90) Three-Cone time, which was fourth among QBs and he would have placed third among the RBs (so really highlighting his running ability, and likelihood to help himself more than average at the quarterback position by tucking it and running it). Hogan’s 3.5-year Stanford experience, leadership and heady approach is going to warrant an investment by some team.
  • NFL DRAFT SELECTION: 5th Round (162 overall) Chiefs
  • DYNASTY ROOKIE PROJECTION: 6th-7th Round
  • 2016 OUTLOOK: The masses may disagree but how hard can it be for Hogan to match Alex Smith’s production. Hogan is the backup QB but he was chosen by the current regime. He is an excellent scrambler who takes any positive yardage that he is given. He struggles accuracy wise with the deep ball but the KC faithful will be so enamored to see a pass beyond 15 yards that they will not hold it against him, as long as he mixes in a few big plays. It may be two years before Hogan is able to get a chance but he was practically a full-time starter throughout his college career so he will ready when the time comes.

 


 

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DFW 2016 ROOKIE PROFILE: QB Cardale Jones


QB Cardale Jones – Redshirt Junior / 6-5 / 253 – OHIO STATE

YEARGAMESCOMPLETIONSATTEMPTSPERCENTPASSING YARDSTDsINTsRATING
20151010917562.31,45985141.7
201410569260.986072160.2
201331250.030062.6
2316626961.72,322157161.0
  • Minimal experience having attempted just 269 career passes, Jones leaves OSU undefeated as a starting QB in college (11-0) and led Ohio State to the National Championship in 2014 after starting the season as the third-string QB (Jones also “co-started” many games in 2015)
  • Has the size and build to be successful as a QB in the NFL
  • Excels as a pocket passer with a very strong arm
  • Displays no issues with velocity, allowing for passes into tight windows
  • Shows good touch and ball placement, especially on deep throws and throws outside the numbers
  • Shows good footwork in the pocket, able to slide to avoid congestion and step up when needed
  • Has enough ability as a runner to pick up tough yards and move the chains when the pass play breaks down
  • Stares down targets too often, allowing LBs and DBs a chance to disrupt the play
  • Relies too much on arm strength on timing routes, trying to get the ball to the receiver before the defender does
  • Tends to overthrow passes, resulting in unnecessary interceptions
  • Displayed difficulty reading defenses and looked to run when his first read was taken away too often
  • Didn’t display good pocket awareness and needs to speed up his internal clock
  • Accuracy takes a big hit when forced to throw on the run
  • Rated by Rivals.com as the #12 prep school player in the country in 2011
  • COMBINE UPDATE: Jones started off his Combine performance just the way he needed to boost his draft stock by matching Paxton Lynch for the best Vertical Jump (36”) among QBs. Things quickly went south, however, as Jones suffered a right hamstring injury during the Forty, ending his Combine. Jones intends to participate in Ohio State’s Pro Day, scheduled for March 11th , to showcase the skills he was unable to showcase at the Combine. Comparisons have been made to former number-one overall pick JaMarcus Russell. Jones projects as a mid-round selection, but will need time to develop before seeing the field in the NFL.
  • NFL DRAFT SELECTION: 4th Round (4.41), Buffalo Bills
  • DYNASTY ROOKIE PROJECTION: Fourth or later
  • 2016 OUTLOOK: Jones may be the biggest boom-or-bust prospect in the 2016 NFL Draft, a fact not lost on Bills HC Rex Ryan.  Jones has all the arm strength you could ask for and enough athletic ability to be dangerous.  He suffers from a lack of experience, however, and that will keep him as no better than a talented backup in 2016.  Jones is already working on his drop from center, something he never did at Ohio State, and is focused on improving his footwork.  E.J. Manuel seems destined to be out of Buffalo after this season and Tyrod Taylor doesn’t seem to have the full support of the organization.  Jones stands next in line and could become the next Daunte Culpepper or the next JaMarcus Russell.

 

 


 

 

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DFW 2016 ROOKIE PROFILE: QB Paxton Lynch


QB Paxton Lynch – Junior / 6-7 / 192 – SAN JOSE STATE

YEARGAMESCOMPLETIONSATTEMPTSPERCENTPASSING YARDSTDsINTsRATING
20151329644366.83,778284157.5
20141325941362.73,031229137.6
20131220334958.22,056910110.4
387581,20562.98,8655923137
  • Has the build to survive life as a QB in the NFL, with room to add bulk
  • Displays excellent footwork in the pocket and rarely gets his feet out of throwing position
  • Athletic and can make plays as a runner, but prefers to maintain a pass-first mentality when escaping the pocket
  • Has a very quick release and is accurate with his throws (62.9% completion percentage in college)
  • Possesses enough arm strength to fit passes into tight windows and drive the ball down the field
  • Excels at reading the field and avoiding being baited by opposing CBs
  • Displays a high football IQ and has demonstrated leadership abilities on the field
  • Struggles with accuracy when on the move and tends to rely too much on his arm strength as opposed to good fundamentals
  • Needs to learn to use his eyes to move defenders to create better throwing lanes
  • Needs work on ball placement, including sideline throws and dropping passes over inside LBs
  • Despite his mobility, still takes sacks he shouldn’t, possibly due to a need to improve his internal clock
  • Took the majority of his snaps from shotgun, so he will need to learn how to operate from under center to be fully successful in the NFL
  • Tied the FBS record for most TD passes in a half (7) against SMU on November 28, 2015
  • Owns Memphis school records for passing yards in a season (3,776) and passing TDs in a season (28)
  • COMBINE UPDATE: Lynch’s Combine performances didn’t close the gap on the perceived top two QBs in this draft (Wentz and Goff), but they didn’t create a larger one either. Lynch tied for the top spot among QBs in the Vertical Jump (36 inches) and tied for second in the Broad Jump (9’10”), but struggled in the Three-Cone Drill (7.14 seconds, eighth among QBs) and the Forty (4.86 seconds, next to last among QBs). During the throwing session, Lynch missed on a couple throws but most were thrown with good velocity and accuracy. Lynch admitted it was an up-and-down week, saying, “I feel like I performed all right. I know my times were a little off. A couple of those throws were a little off, too, throwing to those guys. I wanted to be perfect.” Lynch also registered 59 MPH on the radar gun at the Combine, the most of any quarterback at the Combine. Lynch looks like he’ll be the third QB selected, possibly in the late-first round or early second.
  • NFL DRAFT SELECTION: 1st Round (1.26), Denver Broncos
  • DYNASTY ROOKIE PROJECTION: 3rd Round
  • 2016 OUTLOOK: Denver has had a poor history of drafting first-round QBs, starting with Tommy Maddox in 1992, then Jay Cutler in 2006, followed by Tim Tebow in 2010 and now Paxton Lynch in 2016.  Granted, the first three all had a modicum of success, but only Cutler has been close to worth a first round pick.  Has Denver changed course with Lynch?  Lynch possesses elite arm strength and good athletic ability, but was strictly a shotgun-style QB at Memphis and has work to do to become a quality NFL starter.  Mark Sanchez was signed in the offseason presumably to bridge the gap from Manning/Osweiler to Lynch, but thumb surgery will sideline Sanchez until June, giving Lynch extra reps with his new team.  Elway was recently quoted as saying Lynch will be ready to start “quicker” than some think, but a year or two of seasoning would benefit the young QB greatly.  There is a chance Lynch supplants Sanchez this year, but if Sanchez can be just good enough to keep the team in contention it’s unlikely he turns the reins over this season.  Lynch steps into a good situation with Demaryius Thomas and Emmanuel Sanders entrenched at WR and C.J. Anderson and Devontae Booker at RB.  Lynch should become a quality fantasy starter by 2018 and is worth drafting and holding for his upside until he starts.

 

 


 

 

Dak


DFW 2016 ROOKIE PROFILE: QB Dak Prescott


QB Dak Prescott – Redshirt Senior / 6-2 / 230 – MISSISSIPPI STATE

YEARGAMESCOMPLETIONSATTEMPTSPERCENTPASSING YARDSTDsINTsRATING
20151331647766.23,793295151.0
20141324439661.63,4492711151.7
20131115626758.41,940107126.6
201212182962.119440163.8
497341,16957.59,3767023146.0
  • Scouts love his tall stance and over the top delivery
  • Can deliver accurate strikes with a tight spiral
  • Power to break arm tackles and quick on his feet, Prescott is a tremendous rushing specimen at quarterback (41 rushing touchdowns over his collegiate career)
  • Works extremely hard and improved each season at Mississippi State
  • Considered by many to be one of the highest character players at QB this draft
  • Had a great senior season with 4,435 yards of total offense and 27 touchdowns
  • Highly efficient with a 61.6% completion rate while only throwing 5 interceptions during his senior season
  • Coach Mullen (who coached Tim Tebow) said, “he’s the best player I have ever coached.”
  • Prescott and Tim Tebow are only two players in SEC history to lead their team in passing and rushing — Prescott did it two seasons in a row
  • Footwork is inconsistent and loses accuracy when feet are not set
  • Lacks decision making to slide and move in pocket to create space
  • Tends to lock onto targets at times
  • Despite strength, lacks deep ball accuracy
  • Fails to lead his targets
  • Does not go through read progressions quickly enough and could struggle with complex NFL defensive schemes
  • Heavy footed laterally
  • Considered to be a project QB
  • Finalist in the Maxwell, Davey, Obrien, Manning, and Unitas Golden Arm Award
  • 2016 Senior Bowl MVP
  • COMBINE UPDATE: While Precott is not considered a top prospect at QB he had an overall good showing at the Combine to help his stock. He ran a 4.79 in the 40, which was one of the fastest times at the position. His 32,5“ Vertical Jump was in the middle of the pack while his Broad Jump of 116” showed his explosiveness. Prescott measured at 10 7/8” hand size, tied for the biggest in this class. Prescott also had one of the more consistent showings going 17 of 21 in throwing drills. (Kurt Warner was quoted as saying he looked “smooth”). Did not hurt his draft stock at Combine but most likely he will settle in as the 5th/6th QB taken overall.
  • UPDATE 3/12/16: Prescott was arrested for driving under the influence of alcohol.
  • NFL DRAFT SELECTION: TBD
  • DYNASTY ROOKIE PROJECTION: TBD
  • 2016 OUTLOOK: TBD

 

 


 

 

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DFW 2016 ROOKIE PROFILE: QB Joel Stave


QB Joel Stave – Redshirt Senior / 6-5 / 236 – WISCONSIN

YEARGAMESCOMPLETIONSATTEMPTSPERCENTPASSING YARDSTDsINTsRATING
20151322537060.82,6871111125.7
20141011020653.41,350910113.2
20131320833661.92,4942213138.1
201287011958.81,10463148.3
446131,03159.57,6354837129.8
  • Has good size for an NFL QB
  • Throws with a nice over-the-top delivery
  • Played out of a pro-style offense at Wisconsin and is comfortable taking snaps from under center
  • Experienced — Stave has started 41 games
  • Has good velocity on short and intermediate throws and displays a tight spiral
  • Has enough arm to make NFL throws and was asked to do so in Wisconsin’s offense
  • Shows good technique when rolling out and on bootlegs
  • Struggles with accuracy and ball placement, completing less than 60% of his passes in college
  • Tends to throw behind receivers rather than throwing them open
  • Does not display good pocket awareness, frequently looking for an escape when pressured as opposed to keeping his eyes downfield
  • Throws too many passes without looking off or identifying safeties, resulting in incomplete passes or worse
  • Relies on arm strength too often, trying to fit passes into places it shouldn’t
  • Will force things too often and collected more than his fair share of interceptions
  • Stave averaged just 173.5 passing yards per game in his college career over 44 games
  • Stave leaves Wisconsin with a 31-10 record as a starter, making him Wisconsin’s all-time winningest quarterback
  • Stave was just a two-star recruit coming out of high school by both Scout and Rivals and ended up being a home-state walk-on at Wisconsin (his only scholarship offer out of high school was from Western Michigan)
  • Stave scored 28 on the Wonderlic intelligence test, which is well above the NFL average of approximately 19
  • COMBINE UPDATE: Stave had a solid Combine, posting numbers in the top half of QBs in most of the athletic events. It will help his chances of being drafted. Stave’s 4.80-second time in the Forty-Yard-Dash was respectable and his Vertical Jump of 33” was 3rd-highest among QBs. Stave show some surprising athleticism and looked good in the throwing drills, showing a higher degree of accuracy and ball placement than during his collegiate career. Stave still finds himself behind a number of other draft-eligible QBs as this class is pretty deep. Stave has been projected as anywhere from an early day three selection to an undrafted free agent. Someone though likely will take a flier on Stave as he has good size and a strong arm.
  • NFL DRAFT SELECTION: Undrafted. Signed by the Minnesota Vikings
  • DYNASTY ROOKIE PROJECTION: 7th round/Undrafted
  • 2016 OUTLOOK: There was talk that Stave could be a 3rd round pick, but ultimately went undrafted. He landed in Minnesota, which is pretty set with their top 2 QBs Teddy Bridgewater and Shaun Hill. In the unlikely chance that Stave makes it in the NFL, it won’t be with the Vikings.

 


 

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DFW 2016 ROOKIE PROFILE: QB Nate Sudfeld


QB Nate Sudfeld – Senior / 6-6 / 234 – INDIANA

YEARGAMESCOMPLETIONSATTEMPTSPERCENTPASSING YARDSTDsINTsRATING
20157518262.263271152.7
20141219432260.22,523219142.0
2013710116760.51,15163126.6
20121224741260.03,573277151.0
3859398360.37,8796120144.1
  • Has NFL requisite size and exceptional arm strength
  • Leaves college above the 60 percent completion mark (at 60.3%)
  • Works well in a timing based offense under center but also played in an up-tempo offense at Indiana
  • Displays good footwork and mobility in the pocket
  • Mature, shows good leadership skills
  • Led the Big Ten in passing in 2015 at 8 yards a game
  • Played well against top competition, with a 10:3 TD/INT ratio against AP-ranked teams during his college career
  • Not a running quarterback but Sedfeld is able to use his size around the goalline and had 5 rushing TDs in 2015
  • Needs to improve accuracy and Sudfeld has a tendency to overthrow receivers (in part some believe due to his long arms)
  • A gunslinger with a lively arm, Sudfeld has great arm strength but relies on it too much and will need a lot of work improving touch on his passes
  • Will need work to improve his ability to read and understand zone concepts and seeing the whole field (and too often will try to force difficult throws into his first or second read)
  • Was banged up some in college and missed games with hand, separated shoulder (non throwing shoulder – the shoulder injury ended his 2014 season), and ankle injuries
  • Left college as the Hoosiers’ career leader in passing yards with 7,879 and in passing touchdowns with 61
  • Younger brother of Zach Sudfeld, an undrafted player who has played as a deep tight reserve with the Patriots and Jets
  • COMBINE UPDATE: Sudfeld had a relatively quiet Combine as he skipped most of the athletic drills. The two he participated in (Vertical Jump and Broad Jump) showed what most already knew — he is not much of an athlete. More importantly, Sudfeld was pretty inconsistent on the throwing drills, and he’s considered a pretty inconsistent quarterback who will need time to develop. He nailed some of the throws and looked like a top prospect at times, but then he was short on a deep pass and completely missed a receiver on an out route. Sudfeld is a 2-3 year prospect but with his size and potential upside he has a decent chance to hear his named called by round five.
  • NFL DRAFT SELECTION: TBD
  • DYNASTY ROOKIE PROJECTION: TBD
  • 2016 OUTLOOK: TBD

 


 

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DFW 2016 ROOKIE PROFILE: QB Carson Wentz


QB Carson Wentz – Senior / 6-5 / 237 – NORTH DAKOTA STATE

YEARGAMESCOMPLETIONSATTEMPTSPERCENTPASSING YARDSTDsINTsRATING
2015713020862.51,651174152.3
20141622835863.73,1112510154.1
20137223073.320910142.9
20125121675.014420191.9
3539261264.15,1154514153.9
  • Possesses “ideal” size for an NFL QB
  • Shows plenty of arm strength to make all the throws at the NFL level and has a compact throwing motion (unusual for a player with long arms like his)
  • Stands tall in the pocket and throws with an over-the-top release that is very quick
  • Displays excellent accuracy (64% career completion percentage) and throws receivers open (leading them to a safe spot in the defense)
  • Has good footwork in the pocket and possesses an innate ability to “feel” pressure and move to avoid pressure
  • Adept at running the play-action fake
  • Excels at reading the field and reacting to the defense both pre-snap and post-snap
  • While not a “running” QB, has the athleticism to make plays with his legs and is effective as a runner (1,028 rushing yards during his collegiate career with 13 TDs)
  • Operated out of a pro-style offense and is comfortable taking snaps from under center or out of the shotgun
  • Tends to lock onto primary target too often, allowing defenders to make plays before the pass is thrown
  • Occasionally throws before setting his feet or from a balanced position, causing passes to float or allow the passing window to close
  • Struggles anticipating timing routes, especially routes that extend outside the hash marks
  • Sometimes holds on to the ball too long (10 fumbles in college) and needs to learn when to throw the ball away
  • The level of competition is underwhelming as North Dakota State is an FCS school
  • Amassed just 23 starts as a collegiate QB (20-3)
  • Suffered a broken wrist in October of 2015, but returned for the FCS Championship Game in January
  • Won two FCS championships as starting QB (2014 and 2015) and was named Most Outstanding Player in both victories
  • COMBINE UPDATE: Wentz solidified his hold among the top QBs entering the draft with a good showing at the Combine. Wentz was second-best in the Forty (4.77 seconds) and Broad Jump (9’10”) along with third-best in the Three-Cone Drill (6.86 seconds). Wentz also excelled in the throwing session, showcasing tight spirals, good velocity, and a quick release. During the NFL Network’s broadcast, draft analyst Mike Mayock said, “The more I see of this kid and the more I hear from teams on him, I’m convinced he’s a Top 10 pick.” Wentz is making a strong case to be the first QB taken in the 2016 NFL Draft and seems destined to hear his name called on day one of the Draft.
  • NFL DRAFT SELECTION: 1st Round (1.02), Philadelphia Eagles
  • DYNASTY ROOKIE PROJECTION: 2nd Round
  • 2016 OUTLOOK: As expected, Philadelphia took the QB L.A. didn’t want in Wentz.  The pick seemed to be equally despised and praised, with some claiming his skill set translates well to the NFL and others saying his achievements were overinflated due to the level of competition.  Both of these combined make Wentz hard to project, and now that Bradford has gotten over his temper tantrum it looks like Wentz will start the season on the bench.  Now, if Wentz greatly impresses in the preseason, he could take over from day one, but reports indicate the Eagles are content to let Wentz learn in 2016 and, hopefully, take over in 2017.  Dynasty owners should not be overly aggressive to draft Wentz, but a second-round selection seems like a good spot.