Dynasty Experts Q and A: 2016 Week 12
Each and every week we will ask our dynasty experts several questions regarding fantasy football. Our expert panel will answer anything you throw at them. We’ll look at buy-low and sell-high players along with trade questions we receive during the week from our followers as well as other general dilemmas and draft questions. Here we go:
1.) Pick a side on this trade: Tevin Coleman, Isaiah Crowell & 2018 2nd for Michael Thomas (Saints)?
Burgandy -I can make an argument for either side honestly. It comes down to positional need ultimately. But I will take the Crowell side. Cleveland is still a mess, but really a QB upgrade could make Crowell a stud and that could change quickly. To me he represents the most upside of any player in this deal. Coleman is still the clear #2 on that team, but you saw his big play ability in that role this season. He’s also proven to be one of those “nagging injury” players that drive us all nuts (can I get a what what Alshon Jeffery owners?). I really like Thomas as well, but there are just so many mouths to feed in that offense, that the upside is limited. And it’s not like any of them are old like Marquess Colston. Cooks, Snead, Fleener, Ingram, Hightower, and Thomas. Ultimately I think he floats up to share a #1/#2 role with Cooks which makes this deal VERY close. On any given day, I could go either way. If I needed WR help, I’d go Thomas..RB help..Crowell.
Luke Grilli -I like it for both teams. If you took Crowell out of it, I’d probably still like it, though the 2018 2nd is pretty far out. Tevin Coleman has proven to be a valuable player even (Top 15 Dynasty RB?) with Devonta Freeman in the lineup. I like Michael Thomas, and he has been very impressive as a rookie, but how many more years does Drew Brees have left? What is Thomas’s ceiling in the New Orleans offense? While he is very talented, he has a few question marks which causes me to devalue him a bit, because I would take the WR over the RB 9 times out of 10.
Brian Hawkes – I like the Coleman side. Thomas has had an impressive rookie season, but he’s either a WR2 or WR1B on his team, and his situation drastically changes when Brees’ career is over in New Orleans. Looking at Brees’ contract, the Saints have a clear out after 2017. I prefer Coleman as part of a nucleus of players in Atlanta who in their prime and have solid production ahead of them. The 2018 2nd is a great piece to potentially replace the loss at WR of giving Thomas. Crowell doesn’t do much for me as I’m guessing a lot of RB situations will be shaken up due to the upcoming impact of two very strong rookie RB classes in 2017 and 2018.
Josh Johnson – First off I would like to say that I understand both sides of this deal. Loading up on RBs for a stretch run is never a bad idea. Also I would like to think the team trading Thomas is has a good trio or so WRs. Since Thomas was a late first round rookie pick this is probably the case. So he may be expendable in order to make a run. Obviously young WRs are the lifeblood of dynasty but that is what makes this a methodical move. You gotta give something to get what you want. Some may argue Thomas is worth is more and if you can squeeze out a better return go for it. Thomas has been amazingly consistent (at least eight PPR points in every game) in a high powered offense that is known to inconsistently feature players any given week.
Shaun Laibe – This is a very compelling scenario. I am a huge believer of Tevin Coleman, but I prefer the Michael Thomas side of this deal. Thomas has emerged as Drew Brees’ go-to receiver. This team throws the ball 42 times per game on average, so there are plenty of targets to go around. Isaiah Crowell is a the lead runner for a team that rarely plays with a lead. Tevin Coleman has great potential, but still plays in a 2-back system in Atlanta. Meanwhile, Thomas has 5 touchdowns in his first 10 games. Give me Thomas and his upside.
2.) Who is a player you dropped this season that you were expecting more from?
Burgandy -I thought with the loss of Keenan Allen, that Dontrelle Inman would be more of a consistent fantasy producer. Obviously I didn’t see Tyrell coming either, but there should still be enough to go around right? Well enter the pass catching prowess of Melvin Gordon and Inman has once again become an after thought…say la vi.
Luke Grilli -Sammie F’ing Coates. I know it was too easy to think that he would immediately step in and be the next Martavis Bryant, but I still fell hook line and sinker for him, taking him as early as the 7th round in a re draft league.
Brian Hawkes – Chris Ivory. I know the RB situation in Jacksonville isn’t ideal with Yeldon being the assumed passing down back…But I place value in the contract teams are willing to offer a player as an indication of their commitment to the player. That being said, I assumed Jacksonville would give Ivory better volume of carries to earn his contract. Since returning to full health, he has been given double digit carries just three times…and in all three of those games he has either produced 100+ yards or a touchdown. With a struggling Bortles at the helm, I’m completely lost as to why Jacksonville isn’t leaning on the steady and productive Ivory…and as a result, I’ve cut him in several leagues.
Josh Johnson – Stephone Anthony ugh! Am I right or what folks! After 112 total tackles as a rookie Anthony has fallen out of favor in a major way with DC Dennis Allen. The second player has recorded six tackles in the seven games he has been active. What the hell? I know right! I asked myself that same question throughout the first eight weeks of the season until I finally dropped him in a 16-team full IDP league. I’d like to tell you I will regret this move someday but I do not think I ever will.
Shaun Laibe – Jeff Janis is a player who I had very high hopes for entering the 2016 season. In part due to injury, his playing time has significantly decreased compared to his breakout postseason of the 2015-2016 season. The combination of Jordy Nelson’s return, Davante Adams’ breakout, and the emergence of Ty Montgomery have hindered any chance at Janis becoming an impact player this year.
3.) Name one low value player that you believe will be a major asset next season?
Burgandy – I wouldn’t say that DeAndre Hopkins is a “low value” player, but I will say that his value will not be lower than it is right now any time soon (barring major injury).
Luke Grilli -I’m going to go out on a limb here and say that Eddie Lacy will be an impact player again next season. Is this wishful thinking because I pretty much need him to be solid in order to compete in a dynasty league where I am tied to him for 2-3 years? Maaaaaaaaaybe, but I also remember how good he was for the first two years of his career and I’m hoping he can regain that magic.
Brian Hawkes – DeAndre Hopkins. I’m with Burgandy on this one. He’s simply too good to continue to produce at the level we’ve seen this year. He’s also been hit with some ridiculous circumstances (called for stepping out of bounds last week, when he didn’t…and the play would have resulted in a 70+ yard touchdown) that have contributed to some subpar box scores.
Josh Johnson – Clive Walford and his four target, two reception for 28 yards games are not all the rage. Yet, Oakland is ultra confident in him and their WR corps is enough for opposing defensive coordinators to game plan for. Walford will also be entering 2017 with two full years of (not dominant) NFL Experience under is belt. He currently 26th amongst TEs in snap count percentage with (59%). Delanie Walker who is a player I believe is “thee” comparison for Walford only has a 65% snap count percentage. Walford has certainly proven to be more mature and effective then his 2015 draft contemporary Maxx Williams. Walford is only 6-foot-4 and his he is not 6-foot-5 or taller so your lesser league mates may not taken him serious. People will honestly let height be their decider. I bought low (like a 4th round pick in an offense only league) and even picked him up off waivers in other places. It’s likely more owners will cut ties with Walford for the “flavor of the week” TE or because the wish to solidify another position. Do yourself a favor and claim him even if you are “stacked” at TE. Or there is always Bryce Petty for you two QB ninjas.
Shaun Laibe – Braxton Miller has had a rather quiet rookie year in Houston. The former Buckeye has been sprinkled in the Texans offense sparingly over the first 9 games of the season, but out-snapped Will Fuller in Week 11 while scoring his first career touchdown on Monday Night Football. Miller will never be a prototypical #1 wide receiver, but I can envision him thriving in a high volume, slot role. With Brock Osweiler failing to live up to expectations thus far, the Texans will need to explore other possibilities in getting the ball into the hands of their playmakers. For a player whose value is basically free, you can’t get a much better value right now than Braxton Miller.
4.) Can we just abolish kickers from Fantasy Football or would you and all the “Johnny Soccer Shoes/Division III” kickers be offended?
Burgandy – Yes. Yes..1000 times yes.
Luke Grilli -What Burgandy said
Brian Hawkes -Yes! I’m going to propose a rule change in all of my leagues this year to remove the kicker and add a flex in their place.
Josh Johnson – This one time about a dozen years my kicker Neil Rackers dropped 25 points to help me upset a superior opponent. Ultimately I made the playoffs and he did not even though he had won two more games than I did. Each division needed to be represented equally per our league rules at the time. After all these years I see now why he was pissed and such rules seem Jurassic in comparison to the slick/aggressive scoring leagues I am in now. The point is even know they are part of the game and they have been a fantasy staple for a long time, that does not mean we “HAVE” to use them. The NFL has placed more onus on them by making their job harder. Seemingly they want them to effect the game less by making them effect the game more. With sarcastic apologies to all the spoiled-rich high school soccer players I know from my past, yes kickers should be abolished from the fantasy world. Just like that little piece of turkey cartilage should be thrown away not eaten.
Shaun Laibe – We absolutely need to abolish the kicker in fantasy football! The position has become more trivial than ever. There is nothing worse than watching your kicker miss extra points on a regular basis. I’m looking at you Mike Nugent!
5.) What would your perfect league consist of? Number of teams? PPR? Roster size? Full IDP? Number of starters? Etc.
Burgandy – 12 close friends that are extremely active and obsessed owners. Salary cap, superflex, PPR, 1.5 PPR for TEs, full IDP, 45-50 man rosters with approximately 19 starters.
Luke Grilli -I like a 14 team PPR, Non IDP, 20 man roster with flexible starting lineup requirements. One of my favorite leagues has a starting lineup where you can start as few as 1 Running Back or 1 Tight End and up to 6 Wide Receivers, or you can start 3 Running Backs and 3 Wide Receivers with 2 Tight Ends. What I like about it is it allows for the owners to be far more creative with their strategy and if you are in a jam one week at RB due to injuries or byes, you are not stuck starting a player without a role on their respective team. It limits the amount of “cheap wins”.
Brian Hawkes – 12 teams where all owners are local (or able to attend an in-person draft) and actively engaged throughout the season/ offseason. I’m a fan of PPR, salary cap, at least 25 man rosters, at least 10 starters – NO KICKERS!!! One more thing…and this is key – a significant enough league fee to encourage commitment from owners. I’ve found that many of my league mates are in multiple leagues and their attention follows their pocket book, so I prefer league fees that require their attention.
Josh Johnson – The most important thing is loyal owners. As a commissioner in a handful leagues nothing is more frustrating than some gomer who checks in once every three 2-3 weeks or just completely stops checking altogether. Loyalty increases fun and that’s why we dorks light this symbolic role-playing torch every time we check in on our leagues. Loyalty does not mean bitching and moaning or be dismissive of trades or trades offers. Player value is perceptive, end of story. I would prefer a 12-team/PPR (because I am old but not that old, standard is for dinosaurs) and definitely Full IDP. It should have aggressive yet logical scoring. Basically I am ever so slowly describing DFW36. Its 45-man rosters with three taxi squad spots is ideal. And with three copies of each and every week doubleheaders it’s hard to beat. Some prefer bigger rosters but I like having usable players available on the wire. #NoTeamD #NoKickers
Shaun Laibe – I think the ideal league has 12 teams. It would also have the traditional 10 starting spots, 1 QB, 3 WRs, 2 RBs, 1 TE, 1 FLEX, 1 Kicker, and 1 Defense. I am a huge proponent to a normal scoring system (no points per pass attempt, etc.), which includes PPR. PPR has become the default scoring on many website, so it’s an automatic preference for me. Definitely no IDPs either. For waivers, I prefer using a FAAB (Free Agent Acquisition Budgets) process, which takes blind bidding from a set dollar amount to determine weekly waiver pickups. This promotes a competitive waiver process rather than the worst team winning the best free agent every week. Otherwise, just give me 11 other guys or gals who care about fantasy football as much as I do and I’ll be good!
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