By Jay Myers
Quick reminder, don’t forget to join our live chat going on this morning and every Sunday from 10am ET to 12:30pm ET at www.dynastyfootballwarehouse.com/chat/. We’ll have a number of different staff members on hand to help with your last-minute start’em and sit’em questions. We’ll also have some of the brightest minds in the FF industry from the DFW forums checking in to get and give feedback. Hopefully our Twitter, Facebook and Reddit followers can join in on the fun too. Hope to see you there! Now on to the important stuff.
Moving on, do you ever come across those owners who live in the past when it comes to player values? It can be very frustrating when trying to hammer out a deal with said owners. To the point you want to pull your hair out and that’s if you have any left after playing years of this stressful but fun game. Player values are fluid, and constantly changing from week to week. This is the result of many different factors such as injuries, a great or shitty game, hot player news, etc.
This is typically more common in redraft which “should” be more about immediate production and short-term expectations since you don’t have as much time to wait around for struggling players to snap out of a slump. It could be mid-season and owners are still saying I like my players, that’s why I drafted them. That’s a different story for a different day and just as frustrating.
But what happens in the dynasty format when you come across an owner who is living in the past, someone who remembers that Spiller was drafted after CJ2K during the start-up draft just a few months ago? Someone who remembers that Matt Ryan was valued lower than the likes of Cam, Stafford and Brady in the preseason and fails to adjust their perception of said player’s value based on the factors stated above? Do you bang your head against the wall trying and hoping to change their point of view on specific player values? Do you move on realizing this is more than likely a lost cause resulting in what will end up being many lost hours of your life that you’ll never ever be able to get back while going back and forth with an owner on a potential deal? An easier approach with these owners would be to share this article as the below data will help aid in your cause trying to help said owners see the light. If they still can’t see the errors of their way then I don’t think anything will help what can then be deemed a lost cause. Happy trading!
Over the last week DFW has been running an in-season dynasty start-up mock with our top-notch staff members. We thought it would be fun to see how much player values fluctuate after 6 weeks of regular season action. I’ve compared this data to a preseason dynasty start-up Staffy our DFW staff. Below you’ll see some of the main changes in player values before and after, but you’ll also be able to visit each mock to view the complete results.
The goal of this article is to remind everyone how quickly things truly do change in the NFL and in fantasy football along with being proactive instead of living in the past which is very dangerous especially in dynasty format. Try not to rely on the team you started off with at the beginning of the season to win you a championship. Odds are if you started off the season well that many of those same players will be benched, hurt or go through major slumps, etc. I haven’t seen too many teams in dynasty or redraft win championships without making major moves during the season while trying to stay ahead of the curve when it comes to evaluating the players and projecting future player successes for the rest of the season. Our Buy Low, Sell High, Hold Steady articles are definitely a must read when it comes to that. Along with those articles great player evaluation helps, good instincts and the ability to read between the lines when it comes to hot breaking news whether big or small. More than anything though, being a part of a great Fantasy Football community is #1 in my book. If you aren’t currently a member in the DFW forums then you are definitely missing one of the key ingredients to building and maintaining a successful dynasty team for years to come.
On to the good stuff, lets take a look at the data and see what variances we can find in the before and after mocks.
You can view the complete results of the preseason mock here.
You can view the complete results of the in-season mock here.
Major Risers:
| Player | Preseason Rank - Completed 7/4 | In-Season Rank | Comments |
|---|---|---|---|
| James Jones | 17.10 | 7.04 | |
| Mikel Leshoure | 11.03 | 5.04 | |
| Daryl Richardson | Not Drafted | 8.04 | |
| Alfred Morris | Not Drafted | 3.05 | |
| Mike Williams | 8.11 | 7.09 | |
| Danny Amendola | 16.07 | 9.05 | |
| Josh Gordon | Not Drafted | 8.10 | |
| Andrew Luck | 7.12 | 2.08 | |
| Kyle Rudolph | 11.10 | 7.03 | |
| Brian Hartline | 16.09 | 12.11 | |
| Alex Green | 14.03 | 10.05 | |
| Martellus Bennett | 16.06 | 12.09 | |
| Stevan Ridley | 9.04 | 5.08 | |
| Peyton Manning | 10.05 | 6.10 | |
| Reggie Wayne | 8.09 | 5.07 | |
| Matt Ryan | 5.11 | 2.11 | |
| Jacquizz Rodgers | 11.09 | 9.03 | |
| Rashard Mendenhall | 8.12 | 6.09 | |
| Kendall Wright | 9.08 | 7.05 | |
| Ben Roethlisberger | 10.10 | 8.08 | |
| RG3 | 6.05 | 4.06 | |
| BJGE | 9.06 | 7.07 | |
| Randall Cobb | 8.04 | 6.05 | |
| Percy Harvin | 3.09 | 2.03 | |
| Kendall Hunter | 11.08 | 7.10 | |
| Adrian Peterson | 2.07 | 1.07 | |
| CJ Spiller | 3.10 | 3.03 | (note – the captain who took him in the preseason was as high as anyone when it came to Spiller so he went abnormally high compared to other mocks. I checked another dynasty mock where I took him at 5.04. |
Major Fallers:
| Player | Preseason Rank | In-Season Rank | Comments |
|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Pead | 9.03 | Not Drafted | |
| James Starks | 8.03 | Not Drafted | |
| Jahvid Best | 7.09 | Not Drafted | |
| Roy Helu | 5.08 | Not Drafted | |
| Robert Meachem | 7.03 | 13.06 | |
| Beanie Wells | 6.12 | 12.10 | |
| Titus Young | 8.05 | 12.04 | |
| Phillip Rivers | 6.11 | 10.09 | |
| Ryan Williams | 9.10 | 13.03 | |
| Chris Johnson | 1.06 | 4.01 | |
| Steve Smith | 5.06 | 8.02 | |
| Brandon Lloyd | 5.05 | 7.11 | |
| Greg Jennings | 3.01 | 5.01 | |
| Justin Blackmon | 6.03 | 8.03 | |
| Matthew Stafford | 2.04 | 4.02 | |
| Kenny Britt | 4.04 | 5.12 | |
| Cam Newton | 2.06 | 3.10 | |
| Marques Colston | 4.12 | 6.01 | |
| Andre Johnson | 2.12 | 3.12 | |
| Hakeem Nicks | 2.01 | 2.10 |
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