Dynasty Stock Watch 2015: Week 7
By Jay Myers (@Dynasty_DFW)
Welcome back to DFW’s own Dynasty Stock Watch in-season article. Each and every week we cover a number of players who fall into the buy, sell and hold categories based on current values, performance, and player trends. Player values are of the utmost importance to the fantasy football community. Striking on a player when his value is low or high makes all of the difference in the world. These concepts are especially true in dynasty leagues where player values stretch out over a much longer period of time. So while we’ll focus on some immediate news and production remember that in dynasty we can’t overreact. One game (or even a few games) a career does not make, but it does definitely give us an idea of what to expect.
Let’s take a look at my selections:
Eddie Lacy RB GB – He was on my list 2 weeks ago and he is still on my list. He’s still struggling at this point in the season, but he started slow last year too. I’d take the opportunity to buy a top-5 dynasty RB on the most explosive offense in the league. Enough said.
Carlos Hyde RB SF – An ultra talented RB on a bad team with offensive line issues averaging 13 ppg which doesn’t sound too bad on the surface, but his owners remember that 34 of those points came week 1 vs the Vikings. Bottom line for me is that I see an elite RB when I watch him play, he just needs a little bit of help from his o-line and QB to keep defenses honest. It’s the offense not Hyde, there will be better days for this elite RB.
Ameer Abdullah RB DET – He’s struggled to hang onto the ball at times, but he’s a rookie and there will be a learning curve for sure. J.Bell has proven to be no real competition. Take a chance on a young player who has flashed absolute monster skills. He may not ever be a workhorse RB, but he’ll be a guy who should still get 15-20 touches through carries or catches. Many folks are freaking out after his last few games, fumbles and benching. Take advantage if so!
Josh Gordon WR CLE -If you have the right assets on a team going nowhere fast then I’d suggest taking a swing at Gordon to help you build for next season. Now is the time to get him while there are more teams in the hunt for a playoff spot willing to spend for instant production. Plus, there hasn’t been that much buzz around Gordon since the season started which is a good thing for those who want to buy.
Chris Ivory RB NYJ – How long until the #3 RB at 21.55 ppg gets hurt or breaks down due to his style of play at the RB position?!? Things are going well for him now, but he’s already missed one game this season. I am betting that he eventually breaks down in a big way and misses significant time due to injuries. I’m betting more on his health than a decline in play.
Brandon Marshall WR NYJ – He’s having a great season catching passes from the likes of Fitzpatrick with no less than 9 targets in any game. In PPR format he’s scored 20+ points in all but one game and that one game was 18 points. Pretty solid if you ask me, so why would I personally sell him?!? At 31 years of age going on 32 he has nowhere to go but down after this season. Only a select number of WRs have proven to be elite after the age of 32, guys like Torry Holt, Reggie Wayne, Steve Smith, TO, etc. Will Brandon be added to that list, maybe. But, why not sell while his value is way up from where it was at the start of the season. With contending teams looking for upgrades at WR now is the time to sell unless you are a contender yourself. Things can’t get much better for Marshall in my opinion, he can only regress if he doesn’t keep up this pace.
Antonio Gates TE SD – Yes, he’s averaging 24 ppg after being suspended for the first 4 games but he’s still 35 years old. There are a few scenarios where you should trade Gates. If you own Gronk, Kelce, Eifert, Olsen, Graham or maybe even M.Bennett then he should be as good as gone. If you don’t own any of those 5-6 TE’s and aren’t a top-6 team then he should be as good as gone. I’d start with an asking
Gary Barnidge TE CLE – At 17 ppg he is the 3rd best TE at this point in the season, where did this guy come from?!? The 30 year old vet is in his 8th year and has scored at least 19 points in 4 consecutive games for a really bad Cleveland team. He’s been the one bright spot in the passing game outside of say maybe Duke Johnson. How long could this keep up, maybe all season as long as McCown is the starting QB and locking in on him each week. But, the minute this team gets Gordon back along with some other receiving options in the draft next year he’ll be taking a backseat in my opinion.
Doug Martin RB TB – He kind of looks like the Doug Martin from his rookie season averaging 17.4 ppg in PPR as the 9th ranked RB at this point in the season. He looks explosive and is getting it done through all facets of the game, between the tackles, through the air and getting into the end-zone. The only way I would consider selling him is if you are in full rebuild mode and 2-3 years away from competing, in this case you want to stockpile young up and coming WRs and high-end draft picks.
DeAndre Hopkins WR HOU – Don’t even think about selling this guy, he’s a target hog on a bad team with a QB who is ok force-feeding the ball to it’s best play-maker. Nuk has proven that he can produce on a consistent basis and will help a lot of teams win championships this season.
Devonta Freeman RB ATL – After the last 5 weeks I am absolutely amazed at how many folks still think that Tevin Coleman is the RB to own in the ATL backfield. That is pure craziness in my opinion. This kid has great vision and when he sees that hole he hits it hard and he can also make tacklers miss. He can break tackles and get those tough yards. He also has a nose for the end-zone and has soft hands in the passing game. When I watch Coleman run the first thing I think of is DMC 2.0, he has very little jiggle to his wiggle. I don’t see him as anything more than a straight-line speedster in the mold of Darren McFadden.
Antonio Brown WR PIT – This one should be obvious, but I just want to state it again. Big Ben is a week or two away from returning so just hold off and ride it out. When Ben is back he’ll be a top-3 WR almost every week. If you haven’t seen him as Sticky Bun in “Madden: The Movie” you have to check it out, absolutely hilarious!
There you have it folks. These are just a few guys that, in my opinion, you should be looking at this week and deciding what to do with them. Whether you have them on your roster or are thinking about acquiring someone the buy low and sell high philosophy is a powerful one. And one you should always look to take advantage of. Obviously the final decision on these players (and others) is up to you. If you have thoughts on these guys or opinions that differ
I’d love to hear them. Hit us up in the DFW forums or post a comment and I’ll respond in kind. Differing opinions is what makes fantasy football fun after all.