Dynasty Stock Watch 2016: Week 10
By Shaun Laibe (@ShaunLaibe)
With nine weeks in the books, it should be fairly obvious whether your dynasty team is going to compete for a championship or whether you should be focusing on the future. This directly ties in to whether you’re going to be a buyer or a seller as your league’s trade deadline approaches. Deciding to sell off assets is often a show of throwing up the white flag in admitted defeat, but getting the right pieces in return can quickly turn the tide for your squad and make you much more competitive in the not so distant future. With that, lets dive into my favorite player to buy, sell, and hold heading into Week 10.
Mike Wallace WR BAL – Mike Wallace just torched his former team for 124 yards and a touchdown, marking the second consecutive week in which he has eclipsed 120 yards receiving. The optimist would say that this might be a sign of things to come, however, I believe these past two weeks are going to be the best we see from Wallace this season. The recent outburst is also the highest yardage output for Wallace since November 2013. At 30 years old, his best years are clearly behind him. Unless Wallace is an irreplaceable part of your starting lineup, I would try shopping him for a younger version of himself.
Antonio Gates TE SD – How much longer can the 14-year veteran continue to dominate the NFL competition? The answer is unknown, but at this moment in time, this 36 year old is playing like its 2005 and has been a TE1 for large parts of the year. No one denies that Hunter Henry is the future at tight end in San Diego, reminding us that Gates is at the end of his useful fantasy life. If you have another tight end or two to spare, I highly recommend taking the Bill Belichick approach of selling a year early rather than a year late.
Mark Ingram RB NO – Mark Ingram destroyed the 49ers defense in Week 9. On only 15 carries, Ingram rattled off 158 yards and a touchdown. To put the effort into perspective, I must point out that the 49ers have given up a 100-yard rusher for seven consecutive weeks, which is an NFL record for being horrendously bad. While the box score would appear to tell us that Ingram is back as the lead back after a brief benching, on second look, you will notice that despite his monster game, Ingram was out touched by Tim Hightower, 24 to 17. A lot of Ingram’s value stems from his early season rank, much of which relies on him being the bell cow back in New Orleans. If Hightower continues to get a plethora of touches, Ingram’s value might have already peaked.
Allen Robinson WR JAC – By the numbers, Allen Robinson has been one of the bigger busts so far this year. Widely considered a top 10 wide receiver, he not yet achieved a 100-yard game. Despite this, Robinson continues to be among the league’s most heavily targeted receivers, averaging slightly more than 10 per game. The Jacksonville offense – Blake Bortles in particular – has clearly regressed from the break out season of 2015. If this team eventually breaks out of their slump, Robinson should be able to turn the plethora of targets into touchdowns.
Theo Riddick RB DET – Despite losing superstar Calvin Johnson to a surprise retirement in the offseason, the Lions have been one of the most explosive offenses in the league thus far. With that, Theo Riddick continues to produce week after week, averaging more than 15 touches per game. As Detroit heads into their bye week, the odds are good that you’ll get a few low ball offers for this lowkey stud. If you are making a run at the playoffs, Theo Riddick is going to be a key cog that helps you advance, so trading him now doesn’t really make sense. Riddick is one of the safer running back plays in all of fantasy football right now. Ride it out while it lasts.
Ty Montgomery RB/WR GB – With Eddie Lacy recently being placed on the IR, Green Bay has utilized Ty Montgomery as a running back as well as his natural position of wide receiver. With this, several fantasy football websites have already given Montgomery eligibility as a running back. This alone made Montgomery an instant value play, especially for those of us “zero RB” fanatics out there. While he did not see much of the field for the first 5 weeks of the year, he has been a huge part of the Packers offense over the past 3 games. If he’s not catching passes, he’s ripping off huge runs, averaging well over 6 YPC during the last three games. While Montgomery won’t bring a huge haul in return, he might be a key piece of your championship run.
Derrick Henry RB TEN – While Demarco Murray continues to rake as the lead back in Tennessee, Derrick Henry is now set to miss multiple weeks with a strained calf. Although Henry isn’t likely to help your playoff push in 2016, now is the time to acquire the former Alabama star while his value is at its lowest. Unless the Henry owner in your league is extremely deep, he or she will likely be looking to upgrade from Henry to someone getting real playing time through the remainder of the season.
Devante Parker WR MIA – After a fantastic Week 2 in which Devante Parker put up 8 receptions for 106 yards, Parker has spiraled downward ever since, hitting a low in Week 9 with 2 receptions for 8 yards. It doesn’t take an expert to agree that he has yet to live up to his billing of a 2015 1st round pick. As the fantasy playoffs approach, the time to acquire a talent such as this is now. Parker owners have likely seen enough and may be willing to sell lower than at this time last year. I expect Parker is still a year or two off from being a star quality NFL receiver, but if you have the roster room, he’s well worth the add.
Martavias Bryant WR PIT – Remember this guy? If you pull your head out of the haze, you might recall that Bryant was suspended for the entire 2016 season after missing several drug tests during the offseason. Flash forward to Week 9 and we’ve seen plenty of Antonio Brown being double and triple teamed while guys like Eli Rogers, Markus Wheaton and Jesse James try desperately to pick up the slack. None of which have been able recreate what the 6 foot 5 inch Bryant brought to the team. While thoughts of Justin Blackmon or Josh Gordon are certainly running through your head, the cost for Bryant is just low enough to assume the risk he slips up again.