Inside the 48 and 36

Inside The 48 and The 36!

Written by: Patrick Anderson (shackleford) and Bill Cervi (No Problem)

For those of you who are not familiar with DFW’s flagship leagues, DFW 48 and DFW 36 let me take a second and fill you in. DFW 48 is a 48 team Dynasty league that was created in 2012. It has four copies of every player and it is easily one of the most active Dynasty leagues in the country. DFW IDP 36 is a 36 team IDP league with 3 copies of each player, it was created in 2014, and it has some of the most aggressive IDP scoring you will find anywhere!

While many dynasty leagues are lying dormant or their owners are busy collecting, processing, and analyzing the Combine data and Free Agency moves, owners in the 48 and 36 have completed 100’s of trades already this year! We will analyze the biggest trades and highlight the more interesting power moves in the upcoming rookie draft, with the hope that you can gain an edge in your own Dynasty League.

Without further adieu let’s take a look Inside the 48 and the 36!

Trade 1 (DFW IDP 48)
Side A: All About TDs gave up A.J. Green
Side B: The Inconvenient Truth gave up Randall Cobb and 1.09 (1.03)

Why we like side A: This trade really ended up being a big win for All About TDs. He originally dealt a copy of Cobb and his 2016 1st for A.J. Green, so this deal basically upgraded his future 1st rounder for a copy of the 1.03. AJ’s numbers were down last season (217 points) and Cobb had his best season to date (303 points), but Cobb and AJ Green should post similar numbers for their teams going forward, as long as they both stay on the field.. We think that both WRs will finish in the top 12 this year so the addition of the 1.3 that will yield Gurley, White, or Cooper is a huge landslide victory even if Cobb’s number’s regress in 2015 and beyond.

Why we like side B: There’s not much to like about side B sadly. The Inconvenient Truth gave up a 24 year old PPR monster who could realistically post a similar stat line of 91/1287/12 after taking a hometown discount to stay with Green Bay AND the 1.09 (1.03 because of the 4 copies of each player) which would have netted one of Gurley/White/Cooper. This seems like way too much to pay for a semi-lateral move at WR.

Summary: All About TDs was the clear winner as things look today. He added Cobb to a lineup of Tannehill, Lamar Miller Dez, Jeffery, and Bennett. He also now has  the 1.03 at his disposal to add a high profile, outstanding rookie prospect as well. 

Trade 2 (DFW IDP 48)
Side A: Giant Killers gave up Lamar Miller
Side B: Them gave up Alfred Morris, and Julius Thomas

Why we like side A: Giant Killers added RB Alfred Morris (26 years old), who has to be the Rodney Dangerfield of RBs for the lack of respect that he gets. Yes he is not going to catch 50 passes, but he has averaged over 1,350 all purpose yards and scored on average 9 TDs every season of his 4 year career.  Morris had an off year in 2014 finishing as the #17 RB in PPR leagues, but he should improve upon those numbers this year and continue to press the RB 1 boundary. Julius Thomas is one of the biggest question marks heading into the 2015 season. He has lingering injury issues and he now finds himself on a team that has an inexperienced/struggling QB and a large stable of young talented WRs to compete with for targets. Its hard to picture Julius Thomas seeing enough looks to be a top 7 talent, but he should be able to produce low end TE 1 numbers. Our question is – Is how big of an upgrade is JT playing in Jacksonville considering Giant Killers already had the oft injured Dwayne Allen and Charles Clay on his roster.

Why we like side B: Them receives a young (24 years old) and very talented RB Lamar Miller who had a break out season in 2014. He finished the year ranked as the number 9 RB in PPR leagues, posting career highs in total yards from scrimmage (1,374), receptions (38) and TDs (9). Looking to the future and considering all the positive news regarding Miller coming out of Miami, his future seems very bright indeed. We would not be surprised at all to see Miller finish the season among the top 10 RBs again in 2015 and possibly 3-5 years after that.

Summary: This is a very interesting trade and to say definitively that one side won, at this point, is almost impossible. We prefer Miller to Morris just because of his involvement in the passing game, but the real wild card will be TE Julius Thomas. If he can stay healthy and earn a significant role in the Jag’s passing game he could tip the scales in favor of the Giant Killers. Conversely if JT struggles through injuries that have plagued him his whole career and he does not out perform the two TEs on his roster currently this trade would be a slight win for Them.

Trade 3 (DFW IDP 48)
Side A: McCowell gave up Brandin Cooks, 1.17 (1.05), 2.26 (2.07)

Side B: Monsters of the Midway gave up Randall Cobb, 2016 1st, and 2016 2nd

Why we like side A: Really hard to find something to like on Side A. Yes he did add WR Randall Cobb who should have a shot at repeating his top 10 performance from last season, but he gave up WR Brandin Cooks and 2 prime picks in a very deep and talented draft, that could very well yield high profile, quality prospects (DFW Rookie ADP). Making the trade even worse is the fact that the 2016 picks will most likely be mid to late in their perspective rounds and the 2016 draft will not have any where near the depth of talent in this year’s draft.

Why I like side B: This is a very favorable trade for MOM. Cooks stands to inherit a significant amount of targets that went to TE Jimmy Graham and WR Kenny Stills last year. In fact, it is very possible that Cooks (health willing) could actually crack the top 15 WRs this season in PPR leagues. In 2014 he was on pace to finish with 225 points in his rookie year and that production would have easily placed him in the top 20 WRs for 2014. Then you add in the fact that he will have 2 of the top 19 picks in this years draft and this becomes a landslide victory and yet another lopsided trade as all MOM’s trades tend to be. This is a lesson for all the 48 league members to learn from when dealing with MOM. 

Summary: Cooks flashed early and often last season before being sidelined with a fractured thumb, but at 5’10” and 189 pounds can he produce/sustain multiple 1,000 yard seasons in a Saints offense that just added C J Spiller and is currently rebuilding? If so, as we stated this trade is not very close and we hope for McCowell’s sake that Cobb continues his outstanding 2014 production and he is able to turn the 2016 picks into quality prospects or players to help balance the trade.

Have a great week and we will be back next week to cover all the latest action from Inside the 48 and IDP 36!