Rueben1


TRADING SPACES: Reuben Randle


By Jamie Will, DFW Senior Writer and Co-Owner, @JWill2412

// DFW / REDRAFT 2016 SERIES

KEY VITALS
A former 2nd round pick out of LSU and fresh off of his 25th birthday, Reuben Randle should be entertaining offers for his big second contract as he enters his prime as we enter 2016.  I mean, he’s a former top recruit in the nation, produced strong numbers in the vaunted SEC in college, stands 6’3″ 210 pounds with 4.43 wheels… he couldn’t possibly be an overlooked player at this point, right?  Well, despite a few flashes at times and some inflated touchdown numbers, overlooked and unwanted is exactly what Randle was as he entered free agency this off-season.  He ultimately left the Giants to head down 95 to Philadelphia for a 1-year contract with a base salary of just over $1,000,000 and hard-to-reach incentives that could add up to $2,000,000.  Questions of work ethic and desire were prevalent throughout the latter portion of his time as a Giant and Randle always seemed to do just enough to remind you he was there, but never break through the glass.  He has a fresh start and seemingly as good a spot as any for a “prove-it” contract in Philadelphia, where there is a new offense and a highly unproven and questionable receiving corps.  There is a good chance that Randle could (and should) play his way into a prominent role as an outside receiver in 2016, but he needs to step his game up a bit because he’s beyond the point of anything being handed to him.

 

CAREER STATISTICS

YEARTEAMGAMESGAMES STARTEDRECEPTIONSYARDSYPCTDS
2015New York Giants16165779714.08
2014New York Giants16137193813.23
2013New York Giants1634161114.96
2012New York Giants1611929815.73
TOTAL64331882,64414.120

 

FANTASY OUTLOOK
rueb2It’s hard to really pin down Randle’s expected fantasy impact at this point because we have yet to see any sort of OTAs for the Eagles and new HC Doug Pederson.  While hardly a reliable source for making definitive projections, we could potentially see if someone like Randle is running as a starter at least.  But unfortunately that information is not at hand as of yet, so I am going to do my best to forecast the range of possibilities for Randle this year.  First of all, he should come extremely cheap in almost any fantasy setting, so that is a positive.  I believe that his ceiling for this year is as a starting, outside WR and he could very well approach his best numbers as a Giant, which would be in the 55-75 catch range, just under 1000 yards and 5-8 touchdowns.  Randle has shown a knack for work in the red zone the last few years, and that could pay dividends since no other Eagles receiver (including TE Zach Ertz) has stepped up as a red zone force in the last several years.  The floor for Randle, though, is that he may not even overtake Nelson Agholor for a starting role or Josh Huff plays his way into 3-wide sets more and Randle becomes a situational role player.  That would lower his value to essentially zero, so this is clearly a volatile “stock,” so to speak.  If you currently own Randle, I would hold until these questions about role clear up as much as possible, because the potential upside is well worth rostering.

 

FFWIMAGE-EaglesNEW TEAM IMPACT
This was an extremely low-risk, high-reward signing for the Eagles.  Basically, if you look at last year’s signing of a horribly washed-up Miles Austin and subtract 7 years of age, $1-2 million while adding a heap of previously unrealized talent, you get Reuben Randle.  In the best case, Randle takes his spurning by the Giants and uses it as fuel to unlock all of the promise many believed he had coming out of LSU and become a highly productive starter.  In the worst case, he is lackluster and doesn’t show much but ultimately ends up a cheap depth piece that could even be cut without major cap ramifications.  As the Eagles’ new regime navigates the waters of the post-Chip Kelly shipwreck, a young player with some promise, like Randle, is in a great spot to help both the team, and his own career, in 2016.

 

FFWIMAGE-GiantsOLD TEAM IMPACT
The Giants were clearly done with Randle, as evidenced by their refusal to even extend an offer in free agency.  To be blunt, it’s highly unlikely they miss him now and I doubt they would feel that way later.  The Giants also made a move to replace Randle in the draft by picking Sterling Shepard in the 2nd round this year.  Shepard is an excellent route-runner and seemingly in a similar mold to Odell Beckham Jr., which has the Giants and fantasy owners excited.  With the quick-hitting Ben McAdoo offense continuing to hit its stride, it can easily be argued that Shepard is an instant upgrade stylistically for the Giants’ scheme.  We will see how it all works out on the field once Shepard (and Randle) start to play for real in August/September, but for now the Giants have to be very happy with where they’re headed at receiver.